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Each technological development tends to spur further developments. One
day, long ago, a stand-alone workstation was connected to another workstation
to share data. This local area network (LAN) spurred the development of
file servers, hubs, switches, and network operating systems (NOS) such
as Novell Netware and Windows NT Server. One day this little LAN was connected
to another LAN, forming a wide area network (WAN). WANs spurred the development
of equipment such as routers and ISDN cable connections between cities.
Eventually the WANs joined to form the internet. The internet gave rise
to increased satellites, ISPs, new police squads to combat internet crime,
browser wars, and email, which spread viruses, which cripples networks,
which stops workstations from getting on the internet... and so on. Each
development may have dozens of spinoff benefits and curses.
Computer power and file sizes:
a rambling and sometimes accurate personal history of computers
In 1980 your favourite word processor could fit on a floppy
disk and documents were measured in kilobytes. In those days, of course,
you were pretty sophisticated if you could afford a floppy disk drive.
They were very expensive (about $1000 for my first computer - a Tandy
TRS-80 with 4K of RAM proudly purchased in 1978.) Most of us "diskless"
souls saved files to a cassette recorder. Yep. You had Led Zeppelin on
one side and Microchess on the other. Ah
those were the days... anyway.
Document sizes were restricted by the size of available media. Files
were rarely allowed to exceed 360K - even if you could imagine
a file of such monstrous size - because 360K was the most you could fit
on a 5.25 floppy disk. Word processor files did not have graphics: the
PC's memory could not cope with graphics. Anyway, the old monochrome monitors
of the day could not show colour and their resolution was about 100 x
200 pixels (if you had a high resolution screen) so "graphics"
were chunky pictures. Many people used portable TV sets as their monitors.
It was very hard to create a big file!
One day along comes CGA monitors: the first colour displays. Yes - the
colour was pretty nasty but it was colour. Now: the coming of colour meant
extra memory was required to store the colour information. File sizes
got bigger too because of extra storage space required to store colour
information.
Disk capacity increased from 360K to 1.2M in the 5.25" format. The
hard-shell 3.5" disk appeared, capable of holding 720K and later
1.44M. Files could be bigger. Colour monitors encouraged game programmers
to create more interesting (and bigger) programs. The demanding games
prodded the use of more sophisticated graphics cards. The Asian markets,
particularly the Japanese, were keen to develop high resolution graphics
to display their alphabets properly, so companies like Hitachi and Sony
pushed hard to develop very high resolution monitors and video cards.
CPU speeds were doubling every 18 months - whether this was driven by
the increased demands of software, or whether software got more powerful
because the CPUs became more powerful is a debatable point. The probably
fed off each other. With greater CPU power, programmers built more features
into software. Word Processors started getting spell checkers, menus,
fonts - all in DOS.
The programs started to overflow one high density floppy disk. PKWare,
who invented the popularised disk compression, developed "disk spanning"
so a program could be zipped over several floppy disks. Floppy disk users
realised how slow it was to load a massive program from floppy and started
hankering for hard disks - again, they were very expensive (and again,
I couldn't afford one. By this time I had an Hitachi Peach. The year was
about 1982, and the IBM PC was just about to break onto the world scene.)
Once hard disks started appearing, market demand was slow at first because
of their cost: about $2000 for some hard disks. Prices started falling
as manufacturers improved the technology. The early 10 megabyte hard disks
became 20M. My first step into the world of IBM-compatible PCs had a huge
80M hard disk in 1985. Fifteen years later a biggish hard disk is about
20G: 250 times bigger than my first hard disk. I never did end up filling
up that 80M disk. At the time it seemed so big it would never get
filled. Today my PC has a 20G and 40G hard disks and I occasionally look
at the ads to see what's available...
As hard disks got bigger, games and other programs could get bigger and
better. Sound cards were needed to replace the horrible "beep beep
squawk" that came from the PC speaker when playing "Captain
Keen". Graphics cards went from 200 pixels width to 1024 and still
growing. Monitors jumped from CGA to VGA to XGA and will soon be all active
TFT or plasma. Processors have gone from 1MHz for the Apple II to firebreathing
1,400Mhz. Memory has jumped from a spacious 4K to a monstrous 256M. The
new version of Windows XP is said to prefer 256M - remember when you needed
16M for Windows 95?
The operating system of my first computer was stored in a 4K ROM. It
didn't actually have an operating system, actually. It had a programming
language. All computer operations were performed through BASIC commands.
The operating systems in those days were text commands - such as CP/M
and DOS. Command line operation was hard to learn but easy to fit into
a tiny amount of RAM. Most people never learned it. They simply didn't
use computers. In those days they didn't need to. Hardly any small businesses
had computers.
Then came the Graphical User Interface (GUI) also known as WIMP (windows,
icons, mouse pointer). Developed by Palo Alto Research, stolen by Apple
for the Lisa and the Macintosh, restolen by Microsoft to create Windows,
this was an operating system for everyone who couldn't remember a simple
command like DIR c:\*.* /s /b /ogn|more>>prn:
Wussies!
These GUI operating systems pushed existing hardware to the limit. PCs
needed more memory, bigger CPUs, mice, sound cards, VGA monitors. You
could hear the noise as computer parts were thrown out the window
and replaced with new components that could handle Windows.
The arrival of Windows 95 made the internet far easier to connect to.
The internet mushroomed as millions of people got online. Email became
commonplace. Every business now has a web page if it wants to survive.
Internet URLs are as common as logos on all sorts of products. Shopping
habits are changing. Social relationships are changing as people encounter
others from all over the world. If you ask me, the greatest hope for world
peace and understanding is likely to be caused by the internet. People
can now publish ideas to a global audience: frustrated writers are no
longer frustrated. Publishing is changing. The music industry is certainly
changing. Education is changing. Work is changing. All God's children
are changing.
And it all started so small, just a few years ago. Each technological
development above has sparked many more developments, which will in turn
create more changes: socially, economically and technologically.
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